Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 5.811773 6.414245 7.057036 7.794693 8.618838 9.512400 10.556107
2025-12-21 4.845148 5.677205 6.625362 7.789275 9.184311 10.808473 12.851140
2025-12-28 4.267068 5.259549 6.455708 8.011881 9.995074 12.454037 15.758710
2026-01-04 3.810075 4.904321 6.288303 8.182196 10.729620 14.070138 18.836122
2026-01-11 3.405067 4.549857 6.059525 8.218789 11.264863 15.463812 21.786405
2026-01-18 3.043738 4.201651 5.785469 8.140916 11.607648 16.605609 24.508616
2026-01-25 2.736460 3.888229 5.515785 8.022543 11.856170 17.613659 27.136882
2026-02-01 2.477264 3.612790 5.265327 7.892998 12.055239 18.546621 29.743473
2026-02-08 2.255392 3.368118 5.031601 7.755300 12.212127 19.411455 32.327858
2026-02-15 2.084706 3.183304 4.867782 7.703462 12.489424 20.485296 35.386901
2026-02-22 1.983231 3.095434 4.843928 7.869562 13.136392 22.238486 39.867464
2026-03-01 1.852378 2.948228 4.709936 7.834831 13.428481 23.397342 43.397862
2026-03-08 1.703286 2.761650 4.499645 7.656289 13.460413 24.116391 46.241420
2026-03-15 1.593672 2.632001 4.373614 7.612700 13.731463 25.308191 50.200170
2026-03-22 1.534505 2.583187 4.381334 7.809388 14.471360 27.482622 56.518728
2026-03-29 1.473452 2.525684 4.368022 7.964208 15.145427 29.606827 63.065185
2026-04-05 1.399240 2.438558 4.293550 7.994158 15.572421 31.275172 68.857518
2026-04-12 1.316671 2.329753 4.170057 7.915799 15.767489 32.474613 73.749925
2026-04-19 1.236445 2.219227 4.034348 7.799603 15.868868 33.479376 78.331703
2026-04-26 1.161831 2.113802 3.900050 7.673307 15.933578 34.407092 82.869357
2026-05-03 1.092496 2.013548 3.768093 7.539478 15.966421 35.263401 87.362354
2026-05-10 1.038031 1.938281 3.679564 7.489047 16.180205 36.568513 93.263878
2026-05-17 1.010096 1.913087 3.688977 7.649921 16.895805 39.171377 103.181083